Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000120 0.000133 0.000147 0.000164 0.000182 0.000201 0.000224
2025-10-26 0.000099 0.000117 0.000137 0.000161 0.000190 0.000223 0.000264
2025-11-02 0.000084 0.000104 0.000128 0.000159 0.000197 0.000244 0.000304
2025-11-09 0.000073 0.000095 0.000122 0.000158 0.000205 0.000266 0.000348
2025-11-16 0.000064 0.000087 0.000116 0.000156 0.000211 0.000284 0.000389
2025-11-23 0.000057 0.000080 0.000111 0.000155 0.000218 0.000305 0.000434
2025-11-30 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000155 0.000226 0.000327 0.000483
2025-12-07 0.000047 0.000070 0.000103 0.000154 0.000231 0.000345 0.000526
2025-12-14 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000156 0.000241 0.000371 0.000585
2025-12-21 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000157 0.000249 0.000394 0.000641
2025-12-28 0.000038 0.000060 0.000096 0.000156 0.000254 0.000413 0.000690
2026-01-04 0.000036 0.000058 0.000095 0.000158 0.000265 0.000441 0.000758
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000056 0.000093 0.000158 0.000272 0.000465 0.000822
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000053 0.000090 0.000158 0.000278 0.000488 0.000886
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000051 0.000088 0.000157 0.000283 0.000508 0.000947
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000048 0.000086 0.000157 0.000290 0.000533 0.001018
2026-02-08 0.000025 0.000046 0.000083 0.000155 0.000293 0.000551 0.001080
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000044 0.000081 0.000155 0.000299 0.000574 0.001151
2026-02-22 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000155 0.000306 0.000600 0.001233
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000153 0.000309 0.000619 0.001300
2026-03-08 0.000020 0.000039 0.000077 0.000156 0.000320 0.000654 0.001405
2026-03-15 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000156 0.000328 0.000683 0.001500
2026-03-22 0.000018 0.000037 0.000074 0.000155 0.000332 0.000705 0.001581